Glory to Ukraine!
Glory to the defenders of Ukraine and all modern civilization!
- Article in The New York Times: another “business project” with Russia
- Pre-election arrangements, results of the latest polls
▶ On Friday, The New York Times published an article – an investigative report by two of the newspaper’s reporters – Anton Troianovski and Eric Lipton.
The investigation conducted by the journalists is primarily based on materials provided to them by Joel Riddle, former executive director of the American company Polar LNG, who stepped down in September.
The company Polar LNG has explored very large reserves of natural gas in Alaska. It plans to develop these fields, build a liquefaction terminal, and sell liquefied gas. This is the backstory.
The essence is that a scheme was created whereby part of the project funding is to be provided by the Russian company Novatek, which developed the technology for extracting and liquefying gas in polar climate conditions. This same Russian company is to receive a share in the new project.
Joel Riddle told this to The New York Times journalists and provided them with the relevant documents. Riddle himself resigned from his position in September in protest against this project after discovering its details and learning that he was deceived – Russian money was disguised as money from the United Arab Emirates.
This project violates American sanctions against the company Novatek (part of its business is under sanctions imposed by Joe Biden’s administration).
On the other hand, this project was already discussed by Vitkoff and Kushner during their “negotiations” with Putin and Dmitriev.
Representatives of the Trump administration and Polar LNG, who wished to remain unnamed, told journalists that all these discussions are at an initial stage and are only discussions, with development of the project still far off.
But the fact remains: Vitkoff and Kushner are discussing with Putin and Dmitriev not “peace talks” and “peace plans,” but how to make money on joint business projects with Putin, with the empire of evil.
And in light of the recent revelations, the $12 trillion that Putin promised Trump as a bonus from these business projects no longer seems ephemeral. Even if this mythical-mystical number is an exaggerated sum, they are discussing quite real things.
Sale to the consortium created by Trump of Lukoil’s overseas assets. Creation of a consortium to restore Russian gas exports to the EU and once again put Europe on the Russian gas needle. Joint extraction of Alaskan gas and its export.
The 47th president is most interested in money, personal enrichment. He believes he will profit from “business projects” with Russia. That is why his pressure on Ukraine has intensified to force it to capitulate. That is why Rubio gave an interview for the second time in a week stating that the war is about 11% of Donbas territory, and if Ukraine agreed to leave (i.e., capitulate), the war would end.
We don’t currently know what else Vitkoff, Kushner, and Putin are discussing, but all secrets become known, and as we see, they become known quite quickly.
▶ That is why the upcoming U.S. Congressional elections, which will occur in 10 days, are absolutely existential and fateful.
If the Democrats have a majority in Congress, Vitkoff, Kushner, Musk, and all others involved in blood business will have to appear before Congressional committees and answer under oath about all details of their “business projects” with the Kremlin’s war criminal and the disconnection of Ukraine’s Starshield.
If the Democrats have a majority in Congress, an insurmountable barrier will be set against establishing a right-wing authoritarian regime in the country.
If the Republicans have a majority, there will be no investigations. Neither into the blood business nor the monstrous and unprecedented corruption in American history. But most importantly, “laws” about lawlessness will be passed, establishing an authoritarian, proto-fascist regime in the country, exactly as described in “Project-2025”, the programmatic document with which Trump and the Republicans came to power as a result of the 2024 elections.
Early voting and mail voting are already underway in almost all states. As of Saturday evening, 24 million Americans have voted—13 million by mail and 11 million at polling stations.
Early voting began on Saturday in the states of New York and New Jersey. People are voting very actively. We had to wait in line for 40 minutes to vote in the suburbs of New York City. Never before have there been such active voter turnouts on the first day of early voting in midterm congressional elections. In the state of New York, in addition to the elections for the House of Representatives, there are elections for the state governor, state attorney general, members of the state legislature, judges, and various local positions in local governments.
What is the situation in the congressional elections?
It’s unimaginable to think of what would need to happen for the Democrats not to win the elections for the House of Representatives.
The average results of polls conducted from September 15 to October 21 by five polling services, published by the analytical company FiftyPlusOne, indicate that 52% of voters plan to vote for Democrats, while 42.9% plan to vote for Republicans. Another 5.1% are planning to vote for representatives of other parties or are undecided.
The elections are held under a majority system, with each district having its own nuances, but with such a significant gap, it’s unimaginable how Republicans could overcome it. Usually, the gap between votes cast for candidates of the two main parties is very small, at 2-4%. Therefore, 9% is quite significant.
Predicting the results of the Senate elections is difficult. A year ago, it seemed impossible that the current Senate elections could be won by Democrats. Thirty-five senators out of 100 are being elected, and the elections are primarily held in “blue” and “red” states (except for three swing states – Michigan, Georgia, and North Carolina), where elections have been won by Democrats in the “blue” states and Republicans in the “red” states for the past 30 years.
But life has made its adjustments. Trump’s initiated war with Iran, which has resulted in Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz and 20-24% of the world’s oil imports, has led to a significant increase in oil prices and all types of fuel, which has driven inflation. Significant contributions to inflation were also made by tariffs imposed by Trump (especially on imports from Canada), as contrary to Trump’s claims, these tariffs are paid not by foreign states and companies but by American consumers of imported goods. In the USA, over the past 9 months, not only gasoline has risen by 50% and diesel fuel by 75%, but almost everything has become more expensive – food, imported goods, airline tickets, health insurance, car insurance. More than a million people have been left without health insurance. The quality of life has deteriorated – in all areas of everyday life, the opposite of what Trump and the Republicans promised before the 2024 elections has happened.
And so the Senate elections have become competitive. Where a year ago it seemed that the Democrats had no chances, today they do. The President is record-breakingly unpopular. His record-low rating (in the range of 31-36% according to various polls) reflects on the rating of the Republicans supporting him and nominated by him in Congress – dragging it down.
Of course, we will only know how the elections actually end on the night after the polling stations close.
For Democrats to take the majority in the Senate from Republicans, they need to take 4 seats without losing any. Or, if they lose one seat, they need to take 5 seats.
Here is the situation in the states where the fate of the Senate elections will be decided. The average of the latest polls, published by FiftyPlusOne and RealClear Polling, is given.
It should be considered that the statistical margin of error for the polls is 3-4%. Where the difference between candidates is less than 3% in the polls, real chances should be assessed as 50:50 with a slight shift towards the candidate who is ahead in the polls.
North Carolina
Here, Democrats must definitively take a Senate seat from the Republicans. Republican Senator Tillis declined to run for reelection. Former state governor Roy Cooper, a Democrat, significantly leads in the polls against his Republican opponent, Watley, a Trump nominee:
51.6% – 41%
Ohio
A red state where former Senator Sherrod Brown, a Democrat, has put forward his candidacy against the appointed governor of Vice President Vance, Republican Husted. According to most polls, Brown is ahead and has good chances of returning to the Senate, taking another seat from the Republicans:
48.6% – 44.4%
Texas
Democrats haven’t won Senate elections in Texas since 1988. Texas, the second most populous state in the country, has become the main “red,” Republican state, their stronghold, and the basis of their votes in the Electoral College in presidential elections. Losing Texas for the Republicans, turning it into a swing state, would be a real catastrophe for them.
Currently, Democratic candidate James Talarico is ahead in most polls of his Republican opponent Ken Paxton, a Trump nominee:
49.1% – 46.5%
Maine
The only “blue,” Democratic state with a Republican senator – Susan Collins, elected to the Senate six times. Her opponent, Democrat Troy Jackson, slightly leads her in most polls:
49.1% – 47.4%
Alaska
Former Congresswoman Democrat Mary Peltola is ahead according to most polls of Republican Senator Sullivan. Chances are 50-50 with a slight advantage for Mary Peltola:
49.7% – 47.6%
Kansas
Absolutely “red,” Republican state, a stronghold of conservatism. The last time a Democrat won a Senate election here was 94 years ago – in 1932.
Currently, the chances for Democrat Adam Hamilton and Republican Roger Marshall are equal. Some polls put Hamilton ahead by 1-2%, while others have Marshall leading. The average of several recent polls gives a symbolic advantage to Democrat Hamilton, but real chances are 50:50:
46.6% – 45.4%
Iowa
The same as in Kansas. Farmers, who make up the majority of the state’s voters, are dissatisfied with Trump’s policies, as they are incurring losses, forced to spend more while earning less, primarily due to high fuel prices and tariffs. The chances for Democrat Josh Turek and Republican Ashley Hinson are currently even: 50:50. Based on the average of several recent polls, Democrat Turek has a very symbolic advantage:
46.1% – 45.9%
Michigan
Democrats have made the elections tough for themselves in Michigan. Democratic Senator Peters decided not to run again. Abdul El-Sayed, a representative of the party’s left wing, won the Democratic primaries in this swing state. Winning a Senate election in a swing state while veering too far right or left is problematic.
However, El-Sayed faces Trump’s nominee, the very right-leaning Mike Rogers. The odds are currently 50:50 with a slight advantage (within the margin of error) for El-Sayed according to most polls:
48% – 45.2%
The fate of the Senate elections will be decided in these eight states. The results coming from there on the evening of November 3 need to be closely monitored.
▶ Meanwhile, the 47th president has already begun to contest their results before the elections. The federal Department of Justice filed a lawsuit, demanding that the Alaska Election Commission be prohibited from certifying the election results if Democrat Mary Peltola wins, arguing that a complete namesake of Republican Senator Dan Sullivan is also running, which could mislead voters.
The federal Department of Justice also sent letters to all district election commissions in California, demanding not to count and to defer for special review the ballots from 20,000 voters who, according to the federal Department of Justice, may not be U.S. citizens.
What does this mean? First of all, according to the U.S. Constitution, elections are conducted exclusively by states. The general framework for their conduct can be set by Congress through corresponding laws. Neither the Constitution nor federal election law provide for any participation of the federal Department of Justice, the President, or the federal executive branch in conducting elections. Therefore, the lawsuit against the Alaska Election Commission is highly likely to be rejected by the court, and the state of California will challenge the federal Department of Justice’s demand in court and win a favorable decision.
But there is no doubt that Trump, through the federal Department of Justice, will appeal and take it to the Supreme Court. There is also no doubt that there will be many such lawsuits.
There is no doubt that Trump will not accept a likely defeat in the elections and will contest the results if he loses.
He has already done this in 2020 and on January 6, 2021. He does not change. He will do it again.
Therefore, it is crucial not only to conduct the elections but also to protect their results.
American friends, vote in the elections: by mail, early voting, on election day. Remember, the fate of the USA, the fate of Ukraine, and the fate of the entire world depends on your votes.
Keep in mind that the agenda of each chamber of Congress and its committees is entirely determined by the party holding the majority in the chamber.
There are 819 days left until the end of the story called “Fear: Trump in the White House” © (the title of Bob Woodward’s book, published in 2018).
Thank you to everyone who read this. Take care of yourselves and your loved ones. Look after each other, help each other. Health to everyone.
Ultimately, what happens in the world depends on us. Whether we fight against evil, do Good, remain mere spectators, passively wait and believe that someone somewhere will decide something for us, or fight against evil and do everything possible so that Good prevails.
We must not allow evil to triumph. The victory of evil will mean the end of the world we live in. We cannot allow this. Especially now.
Ukrainian friends, I embrace and love you all. Please take care of each other, I urge you greatly.
Ukraine is and always will be.
And evil will be defeated and punished. This is certain.
