Negotiations with the USA and Russia are completely pointless. But we need to endure.

Negotiations with the USA and Russia are completely pointless. But we need to endure.

Nataliia Lebid / Glavcom 

“We have built an unjust state. After the war, Ukraine needs to be re-founded.”

The well-known saying “wisdom does not always accompany old age – sometimes the latter comes alone” aptly characterizes some of the world’s powerful who are deciding the fates of countries today, but it does not apply to the interlocutor of “Glavcom.” At 91, Yurii Shcherbak thinks clearly and conveys facts precisely. Although he has faced many trials in his life. 

Yurii Shcherbak was born in 1934 in Kyiv and was a child during World War II. He received a medical education: specializing as an epidemiologist. He fought against cholera in Ukraine and Uzbekistan. During Stalin’s times, his elder brother Mykola was accused of nationalism and sentenced. 

In the 1950s, Yurii Shcherbak began his literary career: he is a brilliant prose writer. In the late 1980s, he moved away from writing and entered politics. He was elected as a People’s Deputy of the USSR (1989-1991) and led the Green Party after independence. In 1991, he was appointed Minister of Environmental Protection. Then he began diplomatic work. 

In 1992-1994, Shcherbak was Ukraine’s ambassador to Israel, in 1994-1998 he headed Ukraine’s diplomatic mission to the USA and concurrently to Mexico. In 2000-2003, he was an ambassador to Canada. 

Shcherbak gained particular recognition for his research on the Chornobyl disaster. Like Lina Kostenko, he visited the Zone numerous times. In 1987, still during the USSR, he published the documentary tale “Chornobyl.” Overall, Shcherbak has a large and diverse body of work, as he also worked as a screenwriter.

In 2026, Yurii Mykolaiovych’s literary work was honored with Ukraine’s highest award in this field. We begin our conversation with a question about this. 

Mr. Yurii, you received the Shevchenko Prize for the anti-utopian novel “Dead Memory.” In the novel, Ukraine lost the war, it is occupied, though thanks to a few passionate individuals, the struggle continues. Is this how you see our near future?

No, this is a completely mistaken understanding of my book. While working on it, I contemplated two figures: the number of losses Ukraine has suffered since 2014, and the number of traitors who sided with the enemy. And I realized a sad truth for myself: a significant number of our citizens have simply lost their historical memory. And people who do not know who they are become easy prey for those who hunt them. Memory must be preserved – as Poland or Israel does.

If you want to know what I think about the prospects of the current war, I refer you to another of my books called “Ukraine’s Third World War.” The subtitle is “Our Victory-defeat and the Fall of Russia.” Yes, all in one word – “Victory-defeat.” Because Ukraine has strategically defeated Russia as none of Putin’s goals have been achieved. However, my oxymoron “Victory-defeat” has a second part, and I will explain why. I believe we are now in a state of national catastrophe, as we have suffered enormous casualties and losses.

A few more words about books. Publisher Ivan Malkovych wanted my “Doomsday Weapon” – a story written in 2016 about a group of Ukrainian scientists restoring nuclear weapons – to be nominated for the Shevchenko Prize. An expert gave me an idea for this book: in the ruins of the fourth reactor of the Chernobyl NPP remains a lot of plutonium, and plutonium can also be used to create nuclear weapons. However, the Shevchenko Committee chose to nominate “Dead Memory,” for which I am very glad – it is an important book for me.

Vance is a supporter of techno-fascism, backed by Silicon Valley and companies wagering on a regime of technological dictatorship.

Do you generally consider yourself a visionary? At the end of 2024, you mentioned that Trump’s election would be a new milestone for both Ukraine and the world, and that Ukraine would be the pawn the USA uses in its game. And so it happened. But what next? 

President Trump is the emperor of world chaos. He is a completely immoral person, a narcissist, greedy for money. According to American media reports, Trump and his family have enriched themselves by between $1.4 billion to $4 billion in the past year. Those same American sources also report other things: that Trump is in a state of health deterioration. His diagnoses include senile dementia and cerebral vascular sclerosis. It is also said that he has already suffered a minor stroke, with evidence to prove it. In short, American doctors whom I trust predict that Trump has no more than half a year left to live.

But Trump may leave the political arena not only because of death. The fourth paragraph of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution states that the American president can be declared incapacitated. Another option: if the Republican Party loses this year’s elections to the American parliament, Trump may face impeachment. In any case, Vice President Vance has long been waiting in the wings. But Vance is a supporter of techno-fascism, backed by Silicon Valley and companies wagering on a regime of technological dictatorship.

A bad scenario. Since Vance automatically becomes the US president if Trump dies. And all thanks to the same 25th amendment you mentioned…

But Vance will compete for power with Marco Rubio – a very professional person, in my opinion. Rubio seems to understand who Trump is, and he is also waiting for his time. Rubio hopes that he will be nominated in the next elections and that he will win them. So that’s the situation today – very complicated.

And the Europeans, who initially paid tribute to the President of America and even said some flattering things, have now changed their perspective and strategy. Now, towards Trump, there are no longer panegyrics but harsh truth. Yet, Trump, remaining the president of the most powerful country today, continues to decide the fate of the world. We will still see how the war in Iran ends…

Trump has a deadline – April 9. On this day, he plans to arrive in Israel and receive an award as the winner of the war in Iran. But whether there will be a victory is a big question. Iran currently maintains the regime of the ayatollahs and their supporters. And even if it solemnly swears to renounce nuclear weapons, it means nothing. Iran aims to destroy Israel and will pursue this goal. So, most likely, Trump will receive a sort of pseudo-victory.

Is the Ukrainian leadership, represented by President Zelensky, building relationships with Trump correctly?

We are largely dependent on the USA, and I can only put myself in the place of the Ukrainian leadership. Last year’s scandal in the White House was deliberately provoked by Vens. You remember that the Americans immediately cut us off from receiving intelligence and missiles, which was a painful blow. Therefore, we cannot allow a deterioration in relations with the United States. This country remains our strategic partner, despite all the surprises of Trump’s policy.

I do not understand why we still maintain diplomatic relations with Iran…

Is that why we are participating in trilateral negotiations with the USA and Russia?

Of course. The negotiations are completely pointless. But if we refused them, we would be accused of being against peace. Therefore, we need to be very careful and wait out this situation with Trump. And it will end – sooner or later. Yes, we are under enormous pressure right now. Yes, we are effectively being asked to capitulate and surrender Donbas. But we need to endure and not worsen relations with Trump’s administration.

Recently, Iran began to threaten Ukraine for our readiness to provide drones to Middle Eastern countries opposing it. How serious are these threats, and are we making a mistake by getting involved in this war?

The threats are quite serious. Especially since Iranian shahids are already flying to Ukraine. But tell me something else: why on earth are we even maintaining diplomatic relations with Iran?

This is unknown. But they haven’t been severed with Belarus either.

I just want to remind you where the Iranian embassy is located. It is situated at 12 Kruhlouniversytetska Street in the so-called Savitskyi’s mansion, built by architect Belyaev at the beginning of the 20th century. A beautiful mansion, located, moreover, very close to Bankova and the president’s administration. Walk along it and see how many antennas there are. Can they listen to the administration? Theoretically, yes.

So I don’t understand why, after Iran shot down our passenger plane in 2020 and since 2022 has essentially been involved in the war on Russia’s side, we still maintain diplomatic relations? What does this give us? And answering your question: yes, they can strike us with ballistic missiles. All of Europe, except Portugal, is within the range of Iranian missiles. And if the Iranian regime remains in its current form—a government of fanatical radicals in power who hate the Western world (and they consider Ukraine part of the Western world)—this threat will continue to exist.

“Russia is hopeless. Especially its ‘deep people’

In 1989-1991 you were a People’s Deputy of the USSR, part of the Sakharov group, and obviously had a lot of contact with him. Sakharov, like those Russians who took to the streets against the GKChP dictatorship in 1991, can probably be considered ‘good’. And if so, then tell us, how did this nation turn into a nation of killers and, at the same time, obedient sheep, incapable of protest? Or is the whole reason that there are critically few like Sakharov, Novodvorskaya, Politkovskaya in Russia?

I have a very pessimistic answer to your question. I am convinced that this nation will never be adequate. Especially the so-called ‘deep people’. Sakharov and Politkovskaya are exceptions to the rule. They represented a very narrow group of people who thought democratically and respected Ukraine and our distinctness. This thin layer of Russian intelligentsia is now scattered, with some sitting in Moscow too afraid to speak out, and others having moved abroad.

I propose passing a law to protect Ukraine from Russia.

And I saw the ‘deep people’ with my own eyes. As a small boy in 1942-1944, I lived with Russian families. Even then, they blamed Ukrainians for everything, for example, the defeats of the Red Army in 1941. From the 16th century on, Russians formed as a xenophobic people, a nation of black-hundreds who hated all outsiders and were consumed by an idea of messianism. I don’t know how long it will take to ‘cure’ this nation, even if Russia collapses. This is a deadly, incurable disease…

I think that you, like me, had vain hopes that the Russians would wake up after Putin’s attack on Ukraine. But none of this happened. As they supported their leader, they continue to do so. I am convinced that among Russian generals, there will be those who will demand the use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine when it becomes clear to them that they have lost the war. I do not exclude such a scenario.

As for the “good Russians” abroad, as long as they hate Putin, they are our situational allies. But only situational. Because hatred for Putin does not mean love for Ukraine. They still pity their “boys” who are dying by the hundreds of thousands in Ukraine, because, as I said before, they are incurably sick with Russian imperial chauvinism.

Andrei Sakharov at the podium of the First Congress of People’s Deputies of the USSR. Photo: tass.ru

How can we coexist with Russia after the war? Unfortunately, it is not going to disappear from the world map…

I have an article on this topic that I would very much like to introduce to our leadership. I propose adopting a law on the protection of Ukraine from Russia. For a certain period, say, 20 years. Announce a complete quarantine on any connections—economic, business. As soon as the war ends, our corrupt businessmen will rush to drink vodka with the Russians and trade gas. And once again the fifth Russian column will be everywhere—from business circles to the Security Service of Ukraine, as it once was.

As a model, I propose taking the laws of Czechoslovak President Edvard Beneš, who resigned in 1938—immediately after the Munich Agreement. In 1945, he was reinstated as head of state and issued 143 decrees against the Germans, who occupied Czechoslovakia and took the Sudetenland. At that time, three million Germans were expelled from the territory of Czechoslovakia, and those who remained had to wear a patch “N”—”German” or an armband with a swastika. They were forbidden to speak German, deprived of Czechoslovak citizenship, and barred from attending public events, among other things. These were harsh restrictions, and from the point of view of abstract humanism—even cruel. But the Czechs had no other choice.

I am not calling for such extreme measures against Russians living in Ukraine, but I call for maximizing restrictions on Russian influences. However, I hope that our military, after the end of the war, will not allow “waiters” and collaborators to raise their heads.

“Trump can promise anything to anyone. His words are worse than the Budapest Memorandum”

More on nuclear weapons. We briefly touched on this issue already. You worked as an advisor to Kuchma from 1998 to 2000. And Kuchma was the president who signed the Budapest Memorandum. Did you ever ask him what convinced him to put his signature to it? And did he believe the other signatories, especially Russia, “at their word”?

Kuchma is a complex figure. He is not strictly black or white. At that time, Kuchma was under immense pressure. Initially, he was against giving up nuclear weapons… But, as Leonid Kravchuk told me, the day after Ukraine declared independence, an order came from Moscow to immediately remove all tactical nuclear weapons from our territory. These were mobile units that would have been very useful to us… Kravchuk himself was not yet president at that time and had no influence over the army.

The main author of the Budapest Memorandum from Ukraine was Oleksandr Chaly.

So, what was left after the removal of tactical nuclear weapons? There were 175 intercontinental missiles left in silos. These missiles were huge – I went down into the silos and saw them – almost the size of a multi-story building. And they were aimed at the USA. They were made in Russia, and although Ukrainian specialists tried to dismantle the nuclear warheads from them, they couldn’t. Meanwhile, Ukraine was being strongly pressured to join the nuclear non-proliferation treaty. They said that if you don’t join, you won’t receive official recognition from America or financial assistance. And Ukraine’s economy was in terrible condition at the time…

The interests of Russia and the USA were considered in the Budapest Memorandum because the administration of then-US President Bill Clinton proclaimed a “Russia first” policy. And I had to constantly hear from the Americans about how wonderful the situation in Russia was, where wild gang conflicts were ongoing at the time… It was only later that Clinton repented for taking away Ukraine’s nuclear weapons. The late Anatoliy Zlenko (the first Minister of Foreign Affairs – “Glavcom”) told me – and I have no reason to doubt him – that the level of threats reached the point where Ukraine was promised a joint operation by Russia and the USA to seize nuclear weapons if we didn’t give them up voluntarily!

Overall, the main author of the Budapest Memorandum from Ukraine was Oleksandr Chaly (former diplomat and deputy head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, negotiator at the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Istanbul in March 2022 – “Glavcom”), so ask him about nuclear weapons. He professed and, I think, still professes pro-Russian views. He said that Ukraine is to blame for everything because it violated the memorandum by declaring its intention to join NATO.

Destruction of an intercontinental missile launching silo. Photo: ukrinform.ua

And Volodymyr Vasylenko (diplomat, Ukraine’s ambassador to the EU, Ukraine’s representative to the UN Human Rights Council and the International Court of Justice; passed away in 2023 – “Glavcom”) once said a very reasonable thing. We should not have aimed for money when signing the Budapest Memorandum but demanded membership in NATO, he said…

Overall, it’s a complicated story, and I initially made mistakes in it because I perceived the memorandum positively. But now I am convinced that Ukraine should never swallow such bait again and fall for false promises. Today, we need documents of a completely different class and quality that would guarantee us true security.

What should these documents be? Now Trump’s team promises to “build paradise” in Ukraine if only we leave Donbas. So once again, on one hand, sweet promises, and on the other, a weakened, drained Ukraine. Once again, pressure and blackmail, once again a situation that seems almost hopeless. What should we do to avoid stepping on the same rake again?

Trump can promise anything to anyone. It’s worthless. He says one thing in the morning and something entirely different in the evening. Trump’s words are even worse than the Budapest Memorandum. At least it was signed ceremonially – in the presence of heads of state. I think Clinton and Thatcher believed in it, but Yeltsin probably did not, because it’s an old Russian “tradition” to promise and not deliver, to give one’s word and break it.

So what should we do with America?

Demand the adoption of a law on Ukraine’s guarantees by Congress with subsequent approval in the Senate – only that way! And even then, such guarantees may be a temporary measure. We will always have to fight for our right to live in safety.

“The Reactor That Exploded Was… Stolen from America”

In 1987, you published a documentary story about Chernobyl. It begins with these words: “Understanding what happened is a matter for the future, perhaps the distant future.” Has that future arrived, and if so, what has been re-evaluated from our current perspective?

I contributed to such a re-evaluation, and I can proudly say that Ivan Antonovych Malkovych, who supported my nomination for the Shevchenko Prize, is republishing the mentioned story in Ukrainian and English. It details the causes of the Chernobyl disaster, as the text was prepared with the involvement of someone well-informed about these causes.

I wrote a large preface for this book, where I reflect on the lessons of Chernobyl. They seem to have taken a back seat because we are preoccupied with the war, but they remain relevant. After all, Russia remains the main nuclear threat to the world, constantly waving its weapons. Let us not forget that a Russian drone damaged the shelter dome over the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant. What is this if not another threat from the world’s main nuclear terrorist?

You said that in your book the causes of the disaster are laid out precisely. Is there something there that we didn’t know before?

There is a lot of specialized information that requires preparation to understand. I recorded people who, unfortunately, are no longer with us. I went to hospitals where sick station workers were, and recorded their testimonies. And, to be honest, I didn’t understand them at first. But my main consultant — a member of the then-government commission investigating the disaster — clarified everything. He said that the reactor that exploded at the fourth power unit was stolen from America! Americans produced plutonium bombs and used such reactors. They weren’t meant for civilian purposes. Meanwhile, in Ukraine, they wanted to build eight power units with such reactors. This nuclear bomb would have wiped out the entire Ukraine. The idea was terrible, and thank God, Ukraine managed to get rid of it.

And what does “stolen reactor” mean? Stolen plans, do you mean?

Exactly. You can’t imagine how rampant espionage was at the time. Leftist physicists working in the West adored the Soviet Union for its victory in World War II. American classified documents were sent to Moscow by the ton! They stole shamelessly… Do you think Kurchatov (Soviet physicist — “Glavcom”) was really a genius? He looked through American inventions in Beria’s office and then claimed them as his own.

The fourth power unit of the Chernobyl NPP destroyed by an explosion. Photo from open sources
“I compare the late Filaret to Ivan Mazepa – such was the greatness of this person”

About the spiritual Chernobyl. Is it not laid under our church? On one hand, the Moscow Patriarchate continues to exist as it did. The state has not been able to oust it and reduce the presence of the Russian church to zero – despite all legislative initiatives. On the other hand, we have the OCU led by Metropolitan Epiphanius, but the UOC of the Kyiv Patriarchate, led by Patriarch Filaret until recently, also continued to operate. Despite the war, church unity is still lacking…

First of all, I would like to bow my head in memory of the great person, Patriarch Filaret. I respected him greatly, and we had a good relationship, starting from the times of the Chernobyl disaster. I was the first in the Soviet Union to publish an interview with him. He was the metropolitan of the Ukrainian church and warmly welcomed me in his residence on Pushkinska (now Yevhen Chykalenko Street – “Glavkom”).

I compare his activity to that of Ivan Mazepa – such was the greatness of this person. After I received the Shevchenko Prize, I was invited to St. Volodymyr’s Cathedral, where its abbot, Father Borys, presented me with the Order of Saint Filaret the Merciful, which I am incredibly proud of. Unfortunately, a few days later Filaret passed into God’s hands, where I hope he will take his rightful place.

His invaluable merit lies in the fact that he paved the way for the Tomos. He also revealed the deceitful nature of the Moscow Patriarchate, and when Ukraine is cleansed of its remnants, it must elevate Christianity to new heights.

Yuriy Shcherbak and Patriarch Filaret. Photo: Yuriy Doroshenko/Facebook

And yet: there is Epiphanius, and there is Nikodim, who claims to have taken Filaret’s place. Two, even unequal, branches of one church always mean conflict. Do you know anything about Nikodim?

No. I had very good relations with Patriarch Filaret, and I fully supported his policy of distancing from Moscow’s obscurantism. As for what was happening inside the Ukrainian church, I am not informed.

But are you familiar with Epiphanius?

Yes. He makes a very pleasant impression on me. An educated person with a great future ahead. For me, he embodies all the best qualities of Christianity. I believe he will become a worthy leader and, in time, the patriarch of the Ukrainian church.

I was the first in the Soviet Union to publish an interview with Filaret.

This year we not only have the anniversary of Chernobyl but also the 35th anniversary of Independence. Share your vision: what future awaits us? What will our coming years be like?

You know, I once showed my grandson one of my stories about the future. He counted and said, “Oh, so I’ll be forty when this future of yours happens.” And I told him, “Read the story, and at forty, you’ll laugh. Because everything will actually turn out completely different.”

Because it doesn’t matter what technology we use, what transport we’ll use in the future. Only one thing matters – whether the Ukrainian state will survive. Today, this is our greatest task because without a state, the Ukrainian people will be destroyed by Russian invaders. We need to have a state, even if it suffers territorial losses.

Are you ready to pay such a price?

We will reclaim everything later. Be it in 10-50 years… After all, the Baltic countries regained their territories and independence. That’s first. And secondly, we need to reestablish the state. Because the state built during the times of Kravchuk and Kuchma went through many political cataclysms and crises and turned out to be unjust in social and economic terms. It’s not right that a Ukrainian bus driver, who works hard, earns four times less than in Poland or Germany.

Terrible, terrible injustice… And it’s all because power in the country belonged to oligarchs, who are no longer at the helm in the civilized world…

Moreover, we cannot be an industrial state like in the 1930s. We need to completely reinvent technology. And we have a chance for transformation – look at the technologies we are using in the production of drones! We can use all of this to attract investment.

I wrote an article about the need to build Ukraine 2.0 after the war. The transformation should start with the Constitution. It contains valuable things that should not be discarded. But it also includes propagandistic communist promises about free healthcare, etc., that we have never seen. We also need safeguards that will not allow a president like Yanukovych to rewrite the Constitution of Ukraine in one day.

If things in America continue like this, it will lose its global significance.

You list what needs to be done. But can it all be implemented?

I very much hope that younger people – especially those who have been on the frontlines and war – will build such a new Ukraine. And that in 35 years, it will exist as a guarantee of peace and a barrier against hostile Russia. It will be sufficiently militarized and will dismiss all pacifist talks about barbecues once and for all. We should take Israel as an example and always be well-armed. Armed and competitive…

Will the European Union exist in 35 years? That is a big question. I think not. I believe that separate blocs will replace the EU. Will NATO exist? I also have strong doubts because Trump is currently dismantling NATO, splitting the bloc into European and American parts. Separate defense alliances are also possible here.

I predict that a war between European countries might start, and refugees might rush into Ukraine from them. I won’t elaborate on this because my vision might not come true. But regarding America, I’ll say: if its affairs continue like this, it will lose its global significance and turn into one of the countries of its region.

And Ukraine must thrive…

Cover photo: Mykola Semena

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