Night attack. Briefly about the Great Combined Attack (GCA).
Yes, I deliberately dropped out of all social networks and news for a week. Family circumstances. But this attack helps me get back in line and continue working. So let’s see what the roosters have prepared here and what to expect next.
The attack was completely planned, and there’s no need to be an analyst to determine that night for the attack.
For the third month, the “beginning of the month” tactic of the roosters: on the first and 5-8th to carry out GBA and GCA. Since August, everything has been stable, the dates are consistent, only that month there was a delay due to the arrival of Americans. Today, Huelo’s birthday was added. The perfect gift from the General Staff of the Russian Federation – pictures of destroyed buildings in Pryluky and other cities.
From the missile arsenal, nothing new, just a change in geography before the start of the heating season. But today, the informational component was added as well.
This is what the roosters did with the tragedy in Beslan. And so that every year people would not bring children’s toys and place them on avatars, an annual flash mob was launched on this date – September 3. And you already understand why Shufutinsky released this song on such an irrelevant date. So that every year on Odnoklassniki, everyone would post memes about “I turn the calendar”…
Today, just like last year, all Ukrainians know when Huelo’s birthday is. And previously, no one even knew approximately. This is what an informational operation looks like, and the roosters understand them.
Regarding the missiles.
39 cruise missiles and 5 ballistic missiles were shot down. No Zircons. Meanwhile, cruise missiles were launched not only from the air but also from the sea. And my gut tells me there were also missiles from the Caspian. Just no data yet.
And it’s unfortunate (for analysis), that the Air Forces now do not separate cruise missiles (it’s also good that this does not help the enemy). If there were approximately 40 missiles, then this sum includes Calibers. But there were definitely three Tu-160s in the air (6 missiles per drum, meaning 18) and several Tu-95MSs (the minimum load has long been 4 missiles). So 30 missiles can be allocated for the X-101 (18 from Tu-160 and 12 from three Tu-95s). Hence, 10 Calibers? That seems too much even considering the Caspian, in addition to the Black Sea. So, I think there were 4 Tu-95s, meaning there were 34 X-101 missiles, and 8 Calibers. Therefore, the total number of cruise missiles will be 42. We shot down as many as 39, meaning more than 90% shot down again. That’s a very cool result!
There were 8 Zircons, 6 – over Kyiv region and 2 – over Kremenchuk. None were shot down because there are definitely no Patriot PAC-3 missiles in those areas.
Now onto the interesting part.
10 ballistic missiles were launched at Kyiv, all from the Bryansk region. Thus, there were 2 S-400 launchers and one Iskander-M. No launches were conducted on Kyiv from other regions, and all previous attacks were spread across three regions. It can be confidently stated that if no Zircon (the main hypersonic strike on Kyiv, and recently it always has been) was used, other means were involved elsewhere. In other words, the ballistics were supposed to strike from other regions (this is VKA, there should be more than 100 missiles total). But they didn’t. So, we interfered. The resources for an increased strike on Kyiv (not just 10 missiles) were definitely there.
Today’s strike was spread across the territory because the ballistics were supposed to fall on Kyiv more than 20 times. That was the plan.
Even all the cruise missiles were shot down near the main attack targets. Dnipro, Pryluky, Kremenchuk, Oleksandriya. Nothing from the cruise missiles flew towards Kyiv.
Kremenchuk (as they think, that gasoline is still being brewed on the ruins of the oil refinery) received both Zircons and cruise missiles today.
Pryluky (my condolences to all affected) were targeted due to their status in the Soviet Union—as these were the strategic aviation base for Tu-160 aircraft in the 1980s.
Before the start of the heating season, they struck in a dispersed manner but not on critical winter infrastructure. It was a planned attack for a large picture. For reporting and congratulating “Huylo.” Many cities, Kyiv in flames, several reserve cities if everything gets shot down. This is the kind of enemy we have. Five-year plans, war until the holidays, etc.
And these are videos of yesterday’s sunset in Sochi. Thousands of tons of oil from Novorossiysk are burning. Sanctions are like that, right near their own shore 😎.
On the cover: Russia struck a multi-story building in Pryluky: an entrance was destroyed, among 16 deceased – four children, 55 injured, the city is partially without gas. Photo: Suspline Chernihiv
