An analysis of recent events, and why our drone over Estonia helped me understand the ineptitude of Russian actions in the latest complex maneuver.
Nuclear exercises in Belarus, rising oil prices, the trip to China – this seems like a positive agenda for Russia, but it’s not so straightforward 😉 .
Today’s geopolitical picture around the swamps is quite the opposite – an attempt by a regime “staying afloat” to keep afloat through bluff and manipulations. Russians try to regain the status of a major player (which Trump still oddly sees them as), but it’s just another “nuclear theater,” without any actors.
Here’s approximately what lies behind recent events:
Nuclear exercises = legalization of the Russian nuclear base. Yes, all these maneuvers in Belarus are not about preparing for a real strike, but about “cementing” Moscow’s nuclear presence on a neighbor’s territory. It’s an attempt to create a new threat zone for NATO, without going beyond paper exercises. Yes, they violated the treaty that a country without nuclear weapons places them under the control of another country that establishes them. But, on the contrary, this raises Russia in the eyes of leaders like Trump – they violated it, bravo, in the style of “why report to the Senate.”
Medvedev’s statements were amusing. It’s like a cry for help 😆. His nuclear hysterics are an obvious bluff. A nuclear bluff they had to resort to after another loss of subjectivity. We diminish their subjectivity every time our drones reach Moscow. They can no longer claim the position of a great power on the battlefield when enemy drones fly over their capital, targeting fuel depots and leading radio-electronics enterprises near Moscow with at least two circles of air defense. Hence, they’re forced to remind about themselves with threats. Nuclear ones. Hence, the nuclear bluff.
The visit to China after Trump. Putin flies to Xi Jinping not as an equal, but as a supplicant. Two goals – to beg for the Power of Siberia-2 pipeline and try to pretend he still has influence. So there are no discussions about Russia without Russia between China and the USA. But Beijing is merely observing as Russia becomes an economically dependent raw material colony. We are watching too.
The myth of the Suwałki corridor. Forget about land operations. They lack the resources. All forces are tied in Ukraine, and attempts to pressure Baltic countries are only a fear that NATO will finally close the sky to their intrigues.
And now about the Estonian drone, which revealed a lot to me.
Initially, when there was information it was a Russian drone, I thought it was a continuation of bluffing, threats, and nuclear exercises in Belarus. To pressure NATO and Baltic countries. But officially – the drone was ours, as stated by the Foreign Ministry. Estonia shot it down for the first time itself – and this is a very good sign of personal subjectivity and border protection.
The main thing now is that they don’t shoot down our drones with their air defense but specifically use EW for spoofing and redirecting drones to Estonia! The roosters specifically redirect drones towards NATO countries. It’s not an “attack,” it’s a vile provocation hoping to sow discord between us and partners. And mainly, fear stops them from doing it themselves. Making claims that our special forces sit in Latvia and launch drones from there. While knowing they themselves spoof drones with appropriate signals for a drone to fly to Estonia. They are afraid, they make a mess, and just observe. The great nuclear state spoofs our drones hoping it will fly to Latvia and not continue to Baltic ports. Understand? Not shooting down drones hoping it flies to Lithuania, not to Petersburg 🙂 .
That’s the nature of the great geopolitical game, hoping a drone accidentally enters a NATO country. And that’s why they spoof it, not shoot it down.
Cartoon 2022: Tjeerd Royaards
