Elections – an important, but impossible thing.
Zelensky’s mono-government has done considerable harm to the state, and it would need to be replaced. And not just by anything, but by something a bit more competent, less anti-state and kleptocratic, and not so prone to copying Russian autocracy.
However, holding elections during active military operations, when a large part of the territory is occupied, and the rear is under constant terrorist attacks, is not only technologically difficult but also illegal. Conducting full-fledged elections under such conditions and considering them legitimate is impossible. For this, major changes are needed both in the electoral legislation and in the Constitution. We cannot change the Constitution under martial law, and canceling martial law is suicidal.
However, the incompetent kleptocrats who received Ukraine in 2019 from the hands of the oligarchs do not really care. “How to get reelected?” – this is the question that worries them the most. The decisions they make for this reason harm the state and its defense. They do not understand that their attempts to win the elections could result in Ukraine’s loss. With such efforts, you can be a newly elected government in exile and sit somewhere near Lake Como, spending the remaining currency reserves of the state.
Why are they in such a hurry? Because for now, they lead in all the rankings. It’s clear that their opponents are still weakly involved in the race, and the oligarchs have yet to say their decisive word through their information whores. However, in fact, they easily take both the Rada and the OPU.
You can show me the ratings, but that’s laughable. “Zaluzhny’s Party” and “Budanov’s Party” do not exist in reality. There are popular figures who, if they went to the elections, then… However, Budanov is now working for Zelensky, and it’s not certain that he will go independently or even pretend to be an independent alternative. Zaluzhny has long behaved like a politician, but he has not declared his political ambitions and has no party behind him (rumors about Pashynskyi’s role remain rumors).
So in fact, once it comes to elections, it will be the same 75 to 25 ratio in favor of Zelensky that remains. Unless all democratic forces go for a unifying compromise and go as one bloc, then their chances will grow to 40-45%.
But stable ceasefire is needed for elections. It will come only when Russia is hit by not a forecasted but a real financial crisis at a time when Trump will be unable to save Putin’s capabilities because he’ll need to save his own butt. That’s to say somewhere around 2027-2029.
One can live in the hope that it will happen sooner. Faith, hope, and love – strong drugs. Abuse of drugs has consequences.
Collage: TSN
