Some people accused me, saying that I notice a missile hitting a substation but remain silent about the fact that the enemy is not that many kilometers away from Zaporizhzhia. Well, let’s be honest.
We are conducting a difficult defensive campaign on our land. We bear a greater burden and hardship than the aggressor, and we are in a vulnerable state.
The enemy has more heavy equipment, more people, more bomber sorties, more shells (although this number is falling), more fiber optics that are hard to interrupt with electronic warfare, more ships. In a war of attrition, the enemy has had the advantage for 11 years now.
The Anatomy of Resilience: Why the Front Doesn’t Collapse
But what does the inability to continue the war look like? It is an armed defeat, the collapse of the front, mass surrender, higher-ranking officers switching sides to the enemy, like Vlasov or the generals in Syria. It’s a management collapse, huge columns of prisoners guarded by two armed guards, like in the USSR in 1941 or in Iraq after both invasions.
Does anyone see similar scenes now? No. Let’s not even take into account the counterattacks in Kupyansk, skirmishes on the Zaporizhzhia front, or in Sumy region.
Globally— is there an area that has collapsed? Where tens of thousands of people have run home, as in Afghanistan, taking “Humvees” with them? There is no such area. There are no slaughters in encirclements, no mass “bayonet in the ground and going home.” Why? Because this is a war for independence postponed for three decades.
In 2022, we had the “Tochka” on the airfield and a group of “crocodiles” on the tank in Belgorod. And now?
Let’s take those same “Neptunes.” Several divisions, two dozen machines. 72 missiles in a salvo. If in 2023 we made 2–5 missiles a month, now we make up to 20. That’s 250 missiles a year at peak. These are not “pricks,” this is a full-fledged strategic campaign. The entire Russian border region, the Black Sea area, and ports will suffer, and suffer greatly. The 2026 version is inertial plus thermal guidance. It’s cheaper and simpler to assemble than a maritime guidance system.
We hit ports, factories, energy nodes, and arsenals with them. Plus, six dozen MLRS (HIMARS/M270). That’s 5-6 divisions. Several hundred missiles come to them monthly—Americans have ramped up production to 1,400. We get the lion’s share, often paid for by the EU. That’s why the “Luch” TPPs and substations in the border area burn—we keep their “belly” in shape. Strikes on columns, covering command posts, and UAV pilot schools. We also produce our “Vilkhys” for “Smerch”—up to 30 missiles a month with powerful warheads.
Air Shield: Fight for the Sky and Blinding the Enemy
Our rear is protected by at least 10 Patriot batteries and 2 SAMP/T (Mamba) batteries. Another 8 “Mambas” are being prepared, with the first arriving this year. Together with the Israeli Patriots, we have 12 to 14 air defense batteries. Yes, there is a shortage of missiles, production in the USA is at its limit, but now we have one of the strongest air defense systems in the world. Along with IRIS-Ts (more than in the entire EU) and NASAMS, this is a shield that the enemy’s aviation cannot penetrate to bomb us with impunity.
Every attempt ends in falling into the sea or burning in the steppes of Donbas. We have 60-70 Western aircraft that have pushed back their helicopters and limited EW aircraft. Essentially, we have blinded their AWACS and destroyed a ground experimental board with “Neptunes.” After the “Web,” they will be repairing their equipment for years, while we target workshops, feeling out their boards and machines.
Target — Economy
Under this cover, we continue to launch “Flamingos,” “Neptunes,” and Western delivery systems. We have not yet reached the basic production needs for “Flamingos,” as we were tweaking the guidance systems, but launches have already happened — dozens, even with enemy radar videos. Several hundred long-range drones, dozens of “Neptunes,” dozens of “HIMARS.”
The Americans, with their aviation and special forces, could not reach Saddam’s “SCUDs” in the flat desert. In urban development, under the air defense umbrella, they will not reach our missile components. We will generate strikes across the entire depth until the last day of the war. We won’t take out all the factories in Siberia, but we don’t need to. They will close the fuel deficit with South Korean imports or additives, buy machines under the radar, code “Starlinks.” But together, they cannot carry it. “Bolivar” cannot withstand such a campaign. We are hitting their economy, and it is collapsing.
Our task is to stand firm. They sell us the image of a “perpetual war,” but their economy is on the edge. Look at KamAZ’s deficit — the main military equipment manufacturer. It is growing with astounding numbers. Their “military Keynesianism” leads to collapse in the coming months. The main heavy equipment manufacturer of the Russian Federation, PJSC KamAZ, showed a net loss last year that increased elevenfold and reached thirty-seven billion rubles, while gross profit dropped thirty-two times. With company debts of two hundred twenty billion rubles, this means only one thing: military orders do not save but drain life from their industry.
Look at our rear. Do we have a “rutabaga winter” of 1917? Are there food ration cards? Do vocational schools work in three shifts, where children make shells? Have tens of thousands of women been called up to anti-aircraft units, motorized battalions, hospitals, and military police? No. The rear suffers from power outages, heat, and unemployment, but we continue to fight a relatively “comfortable” war. Taxis run, generators hum, and there’s lactose-free Arabica in cafes. This means there is no blockade; ports are operational, and transshipment across the western border continues.
Do you think it was possible to drink lactose-free Arabica in besieged cities during World War II? I’m not romanticizing, state propaganda about “resilience” triggers me too, but we are still okay. Believe me, in thousands of wars — from Afghanistan and Iraq to urban battles with cartels — the situation was much harsher than here, a few hundred kilometers from the active front.
We have delivery services and flower shops. A comfortable rear is also a weapon: the mail delivers, taxes and donations generate drones and Starlinks. If you want to understand what a real blackout is, read about Sarajevo. Our comparison with them is not to devalue our hardships but to realize: “We still have the resources to fight.” It’s not downplaying suffering; it’s about scale.
Yes, it’s hard. Many can’t cope. Many have mental issues, clinical depression, and the feeling that “all is lost.” But our situation is far from the worst. In three weeks, spring will come, and thanks to resources, it will be a time of greater resilience for us.
They sell us a future where they fight with Ukraine for thirty years like Charlemagne. They think they can break us with human waves. We’re building a future where behind each of their “belts of fortresses,” a new line awaits them: trenches blocked from dumping, ditches with “Egoza” mines, and autonomous combat systems. “Our robots take prisoners” is no longer a slogan; it’s the reality of the assaults in 2026. Iron will cover human needs where it’s possible.
We are not going into basements to have our teeth pulled for a flag on our phone. We will not willingly go to Bucha as a whole country. I saw how your people took photos against the backdrop of hell in Borodyanka, where people suffocated in basements. I heard how you raped a woman and killed her husband after he watched. And you savor our suffering and think we’ll trust your “guarantees”? Go to hell.
You sell us a picture of a future where you can fight endlessly. We show you a future where we have become the Frontier. Ukraine in this new reality is not just a state, it is a militarized eastern wall of civilization.
Even after a conditional “peace,” the two-thousand-kilometer border will remain a line of death with minefields, concrete forts, “drone line” companies, and automatic sensors.
Our economy will be military for decades. Energy will be decentralized: thousands of gas-piston units, local boilers, solar, wind, and mini-hydropower plants are being built. Sooner or later, we’ll complete two nuclear power plant units and finish the facility near Chyhyryn. Destroying such a network with missiles is economically impossible. Every new house or factory will be built with a bunker and autonomous supply. Every adult, regardless of gender, will become a reservist.
Yes, there will be dodgers too—this is normal. In World War II, millions hid. We will eventually bring those needed into line, using both carrot and stick. Many will run and lie low until the end of the second campaign; that’s their choice. I don’t approve, but I understand.
The defense industry is becoming our main driver. We will export unique combat systems and experience in modern warfare. The world respects only those who can bite back at an aggressor.
The choice wasn’t made by us, but we have to live with it. You hope we’ll run out of infantry, but you’ll break down sooner. We have already become the Frontier. And it shall be. You will vomit blood for these ruins.
Eternal memory to all who lost their lives defending the Motherland.
We will not surrender. And we will win.
